Tuesday, February 24, 2009

Recent History Long Forgotten

Every one has their theories on what caused the mortgage crisis. Fannie and Freddie, greedy Republicans, aggressive first-time homeowners, even Former President George W. Bush. President Obama repeatedly mentioned the failed policies of the past eight years that put us in the present economic hard times.

A good friend of mine circulated an old newspaper article from the NY Times. The Steven Holmes article from September 30, 1999 highlights economic decisions made in the White House and Capital building that shed much needed light on the current housing crisis.

Below is an excerpt from the Steven Holmes article:

“Fannie Mae, the nation’s biggest underwriter of home mortgages, has been under increasing pressure from the Clinton Administration to expand mortgage loans among low and moderate income people and felt pressure from stock holders to maintain its phenomenal growth in profits.

…‘Fannie Mae expanded home ownership for millions of families in the 1990’s by reducing down payment requirements,’ said Franklin D. Raines, Fannie Mae’s chairman and CEO. ‘Yet there remain too many borrowers whose credit is just a notch below what our underwriting has required who have been relegated to paying significantly higher mortgage rates in the so-called sub-prime market.’

…In moving, even tentatively, into this new area of lending, Fannie Mae is taking on significantly more risk, which may not pose any difficulties during flush economic times. But the government-subsidized corporation may run into trouble in an economic downturn, prompting a government rescue similar to that of the savings and loan industry in the 1980’s.”

WOW. So this is not Bush’s fault??? I’m perplexed. President Obama thinks it is. I heard him say so at his first press conference. If he said it then his statement must be true right? I think not.

Coming in the near future…I take on golden parachutes paid for by taxpayers.

Monday, February 16, 2009

The Pragmatic Environmentalist

Clean coal fired energy. I don’t know if there is a truer oxymoron than clean coal energy. There are several technological proposals to clean up coal, but most of the technologies are unproven, work on a small scale and only remove a fraction of the carbon dioxide from a coal power plant’s exhaust. These drawing board technologies are incredibly expensive and cost around $100 million per power plant.

I laud the green weenie push to reduce green house gases. I want to live in a world where the air and water is clean. I like to swim in lakes and smell the fresh breeze. I also enjoy my air conditioning when its allergy season, fresh food in the refrigerator and the house lights in the dark of winter.

The demand for electricity is increasing and outpacing our generation capability. Wind generated power is great for some parts of the country where the winds blows all of the time like Colorado and Wyoming. Ranchers in Cheyenne, WY are making money hand over fist by leasing their land to windmill power companies. These ranchers are pragmatic people and don’t really care that the windmills dot the surrounding landscape. I wouldn’t care either if I was pulling in a quarter million dollars a year in lease income.

Not everyone feels the same way. The people of Vermont shot down a wind energy project in the Green Mountains because they did not want the pristine view of the mountains to include a string of windmills. The same private views also plague wind efforts off the coast of New Jersey and Cape Cod. In these cases, offshore windmill projects are half inch stick figure images on the far visual horizon. Fortunately, a federal judge ruled that Cape Wind can proceed with their windmill project. Great, because the wind howls offshore in the Northeast all winter long. I’m glad that there are some pragmatic judges out there.

Solar power is not the answer either. A cutting edge solar power plant is under construction in southern California on a ten square mile site. This plant occupies more space than a traditional power plant by a factor of one hundred and produces less than 25% of the power of a coal power plant. And it only works when the sun is out, which for the southwest is over 300 days a year. What about those two months when there is cloud cover? Solar power technology has a way to go before it can economically produce energy.

So what are the remaining options?

Power companies are trying to build more coal power plants despite extreme opposition from local and national environmental groups. So far, only two additional plants are going forward. So what do we do when electrical demand outstrips supply? Roving blackouts? Remember when California suffered rolling blackouts in the heat of the summer? Can you live without electrical power for a few hours in the middle of the day? Think about it.

What about nuclear energy? Environmentalists also block the power companies from building nuclear power plants because, you know, nuclear waste is bad stuff. Nuclear power is one of the cleanest power sources. Who knows, there may be technology in the near future that can reuse spent nuclear fuel.

I completely agree that we need to find cleaner energy sources. I also don’t want to sit in the dark when I’m home at night. I like candle light, but it does get tiresome to live by candle light and candles are expensive. Maybe I need to invest in candle futures. We need energy solutions now and we need a plan to get us to a cleaner future without bankrupting us now. I just hope the idealistic green weenies don’t paint us into a corner with no way out.

Who’s up for the pragmatic approach?

Sunday, February 15, 2009

Take The Check Book Away

President Obama is poised to sign landmark legislation on the 200th anniversary of Lincoln's birthday. The Economic Stimulus Bill finally cleared the House and Senate and passed conference to iron out the differences. The grand total is $787 billion and change. The entire bill encompasses 1100 fun-filled pages.

By the way, has anyone read the entire 1100 pages front to back? In the immortal words of my freshman English teacher, will the first, last and only people to read this bill be its authors? Does that scare anyone else but me? President Obama pledges transparency in how this bill is spent, but I don't feel 1100 pages really define transparent. A lot of trickery can be hidden within 1100 pages. Are Pelosi and Reid going for an "A" on this bill by shear weight alone? Whatever happened to "explain your position in 500 words or less?"

Can you imagine the money we could save if Congress had not just term limits, but word limits? The average citizen might be tempted to read Congressional legislation if the bills were just a few pages front to back. We wouldn't need Congressional watchdogs. You could review the Congress' work after dinner and before you put the kids to bed.

I don't question the urgency President Obama laid out to the American people in his press conference. Actually, I'm impressed that Congress was able to do something in the first 30 days of President Obama's administration. 30 days is a split second when it comes to Congressional action which usually makes molasses look like quicksilver.

I wonder if our revered Speaker (hold your chuckles, please) likes the taste of crow. Did you catch the news bit wherein she swears repeatedly there is no pork in this bill? Did she really make such an outrageous statement?

By best estimates (my source is CRS), the Iraq war cost the taxpayers $>600 billion since March 2003. The war cost an enormous amount of money. Tomorrow, President Obama will spend more than the entire war effort to date in the time it takes to sign his name. Ouch.

A very smart lady once told us in college "just because you have checks in the check book, does not mean you have money." Good advice. Maybe Harriet should give money management lessons to the folks in DC. Either that or take the check book away.

Tuesday, January 27, 2009

You Tell 'Em Mr. President!

In one of his first foreign policy moves, President Obama told the Islamic world, specifically the bad guys, “the Americans are not your enemy.” Thank you, Mr. President, for clearing that up. I'm glad we got that straight. Do you think any one was listening?

I have a question for the President, "What are you going to do when its clear that the Islamic world isn't listening, tell them again?"

An what will you do when the next wave of attacks occurrs on American soil or against American interests? Will you keep the pressure up until the terrorists want to talk or will you give them time to regain strength while we talk and they catch their breath?

I think asking the terrorists to talk is a noble idea, but do you think its effective against an enemy who's belief system doesn't allow bargaining with their faith? Negotiating takes two active participants, otherwise its called a monologue. If you're interested in giving a monologue I'd rather listen to Jerry Seinfeld.

Monday, January 26, 2009

Open Letter to the Leaders of Congress

To the Speaker of the House and he Senate Majority Leader:

You lead this country at an historic time. We face a deep depression, fight two wars far from our borders, and are unpopular with many abroad. How do you repair the "American" brand? President Obama is open to addressing problems in new ways and has promised the change we need. How are you going to work with him to solve the challenges facing this country?

Yes. You're going to have to work with the President. Last time I checked, the President was the acknowledged leader of the country.

I hope you're going to look forward and address the problems of the future rather than what you interpret as the problems of the last eight years. This talk of investigation the Bush Presidency to see if he broke the law is foolish. You will never uncover the evidence necessary to do what you want. You have bigger problems to tackle. Put aside your petty personal grievances and get today's job done.

And you have little time to accomplish this monumental list of work. History shows (I hope you're a student of history) Presidencies that start with a legislative majority soon lose that convenience at the mid term election. I think it has to do with the normal dissatisfaction we feel with the Presidency (why would anyone ever want that job?). So get to work. I'm surprised you haven't finalized the Economic Stimulus Bill, yet. What are you waiting for?

Sincerely,

AJ

P.S. Don't you think its a little greedy to take an automatic pay raise this year when economic times are so tough? Why don't you repeal that one and save us some money.

Monday, January 19, 2009

What do you see?

This weekend, Hamas agreed to a one-week cease fire in the latest battle of the Israeli-Palestinian struggle. I was reading several articles about the conflict and wondering at the Israeli's restraint.

What do I mean? Imagine yourself in a country surrounded on three sides by enemies. Israel is surrounded by Hezbollah in south Lebanon, Syria, Jordan, the Fatah controled West Bank, Gaza (controlled by Hamas) and Egypt. Hezbollah is backed financially and militarily by Iran. Iran on its own wants Israel to be a smoking hole in the ground, but finds it more convenient to pay Hezbollah to fight its battle. Hamas gets military and financial help too from the Sunni branch of the Arab world. The only truely friendly neighbor is the Mediteranean Sea.

So imagine yourself sitting in the middle of this snake pit and one of your neighbors considers it their 'right' to indiscriminately lob rockets into your country. Please note, these rockets aren't aimed at military targets. The target is Israel, so like a good jihadist all you need to do it aim in an easterly direction and fire.

Israel is willing to negotiate with Hamas. Hamas was negotiating with Israel via Egypt. At the same time, Hamas sanctioned continued rocket attacks. Hamas is both the government of Gaza and a terrorist group.

So what do you do?

There is no way Israel can stop the rocket attacks directly. Israel already tried to negotiate and that just wasn't working. Israel's only real hope if to make the situation in Gaza so dire that the Palestinian people sue for peace. They made a good start of it, but I don't think they've gone far enough. The Hamas leadership does not have the self restraint to stop the rocket attacks. Only when the Palestinian people living in Gaza decry 'Enough!' will Hamas find the capacity to stop. And if they don't stop they may just find themselves alone in the street where the people used to welcome them indoors.

I don't believe that the indiscriminate killing of civilians is right however, Israel has shown restraint and was taken advantage of by Hamas. The law of war, yes, the law of war, says that both sides must comply. If one commits a barbarous act, then his enemy is allowed to retaliate.

Hamas is pushing the conflict towards total war. I think Israel is better equiped to wage a total war. Hamas may just die for their beliefs. I hope it doesn't come to that. I hope there is some sense in Hamas. We shall see.

Monday, November 3, 2008

The Big Tuesday

Its been a while since my last rant.

So here's what I'm thinking on the night before Super Tuesday.

I really hope my income taxes don't go up tomorrow. I think the $250,000 ceiling is about to get a lot lower in Obama's tax cut. As it stands now, the top 40% of the tax brackets generate 95% of the income tax revenue. Isn't that enough? Can't the other 60% of the U.S. bring in the remaining 5% of the revenue?

I hope we don't get to see the Obama/Biden response to a terrorist attack on the U.S. When Joe Biden warns us that the response from the White House would shock most Americans we should get ready to start learning how to speak other languages. I don't want the White House to be associated with white flags.

McCain's age and his "poor" health concern many. He's been healthy enough to campaign for 2 years and still be a contender despite all of the biased reporting against him. I have complete confidence in Sarah Palin to get the job done. A woman who can raise 5 kids and still find time to run a State government has her act together. I think her lack of experience in DC is a benefit and not a hindrance. Albert Einstein is famous for saying, "you can't fix a problem the same mind that created it." Sarah isn't burdened with a mind stuck in the "DC Paradigm."

Obama doesn't talk about winning the war in Iraq, he talks about ending it. That's pretty defeatist to me. Hey, didn't we hand over a big portion of the security situation in Iraq to the Iraqi government? I don't remember hearing about a big implosion in the Middle East. Sure smells like we're closing on a victory to me.

Obama already has the billions of dollars that we spend in Iraq promised to the American taxpayers for projects in this country. Don't forget that he's going to lower your tax rate and spend A LOT MORE OF YOUR MONEY. Sounds like some funny accounting practices there.

I work for the government and know firsthand how cumbersome the government can be when they get involved. The government always does things slowly, expensively and never well because they can't always get the best and brightest workers (I work for the government remember?). I don't want more government in my life.

Where has Joe Biden been in the last few weeks? Oh, he's been banished into obscurity because his famous mouth ran away with the real truth about the Obama platform. Kind of scary when they sideline the guy who got Obama this far because he gave us a candid look behind the curtain.

Tomorrow is a big day America. Don't blow it.